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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance

Guinea-Bissau: Is Military Interference Undermining Stabilisation Efforts? 20/11/2025

Summary :
The article examines how the resurgence of senior military figures in the political arena of Guinea-Bissau during a tense post-election period poses a...

Country : Guinea-Bissau

Organizations : WATHI

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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance,

Guinea-Bissau: Is Military Interference Undermining Stabilisation Efforts? 20/11/2025

Summary :

The article examines how the resurgence of senior military figures in the political arena of Guinea-Bissau during a tense post-election period poses a serious threat to the country’s stability. More than three months after the second round of the presidential election on 29 December 2019, the country is stuck in an institutional deadlock. The lack of political will among national actors, combined with a too weak response from the international community (especially ECOWAS), has created a window for military interference. The army—traditionally sidelined after the 2012 coup—has re-emerged as a major player, disrupting the civilian-military balance. This undermines institutions, erodes the credibility of the electoral process, and calls for improved regional and international coordination to mitigate the risks of escalation.

Keywords :

Governance, Election, Military activity, Crisis, Stabilisation

Organizations :

WATHI

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Guinea-Bissau: Is Military Interference Undermining Stabilisation Efforts? 20/11/2025