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• Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Africa Organized Crime Index 2023: Rising Crime, Growing Vulnerabilities 02/12/2025

  Summary :

  The article outlines findings from the ENACT Africa Organised Crime Index 2023, highlighting rising illicit activity and growing vulnerabilities acros...

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  Country : Guinea-Bissau

  Organizations : WATHI
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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance, Security and human rights,
Africa Organized Crime Index 2023: Rising Crime, Growing Vulnerabilities 02/12/2025
Summary :
The article outlines findings from the ENACT Africa Organised Crime Index 2023, highlighting rising illicit activity and growing vulnerabilities across Africa. It emphasizes that Guinea-Bissau has become a key hub for arms and cocaine trafficking, acting both as a source and transit country. Light weapons — often concentrated in the capital and border areas — flow through Guinea-Bissau into conflict zones in the Sahel and West Africa. Meanwhile, the country serves as a major transshipment point for South American cocaine destined for European markets. These illicit flows empower criminal and extremist groups, weaken institutional capacity, and increase the risk of violence and instability. The article warns of the urgent need for improved regional coordination and strengthened state resilience to tackle organized crime.
Keywords :
Governance, Security, Vulnerability, Institution, Trafic de drogue
Organizations :
WATHI
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• Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Can Guinea eradicate coups d’état from its political culture? 30/01/2026

  Summary :

  The article “Can Guinea eradicate coups d’état from its political culture?”, written by David Zounmenou for the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), ...

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  Country : Guinea

  Organizations : WATHI
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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance, Security and human rights,
Can Guinea eradicate coups d’état from its political culture? 30/01/2026
Summary :
The article “Can Guinea eradicate coups d’état from its political culture?”, written by David Zounmenou for the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), examines the structural drivers behind Guinea’s September 5, 2021 military coup and the country’s long-standing pattern of unconstitutional power seizures. The overthrow of President Alpha Condé followed his highly contested third term, made possible by constitutional manipulation, and occurred amid widespread political repression, poor governance, and entrenched impunity. The author argues that the lack of accountability undermines democratic consolidation and creates fertile ground for repeated military intervention. By placing the 2021 coup in Guinea’s historical trajectory—marked by successive military regimes since independence—the article highlights the fragility of both political and security institutions. More broadly, it challenges the notion that coups reflect a failure of democracy itself, instead pointing to governance deficits and abuse of power. To end coups as a political norm, the article calls for ending impunity, strengthening constitutional order, and firmer action by the African Union and regional bodies.
Keywords :
Culture, Politics, Governance, Security, Coup d'État
Organizations :
WATHI
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• NGO / Association report / Security and human rights,

  Multisectoral Surveillance Bulletin on the Regions of Tombouctou and Taoudénni – Mali, No. 15 28/01/2026

  Summary :

  This multisectoral surveillance bulletin examines the humanitarian, agro-pastoral, health, nutrition, and security situation in the regions of Tombouc...

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  Country : Mali

  Organizations : Action Against Hunger (ACF) – Regional Office for West and Central Africa (Dakar, Senegal)
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NGO / Association report / Security and human rights,
Multisectoral Surveillance Bulletin on the Regions of Tombouctou and Taoudénni – Mali, No. 15 28/01/2026
Summary :
This multisectoral surveillance bulletin examines the humanitarian, agro-pastoral, health, nutrition, and security situation in the regions of Tombouctou and Taoudénni in Mali for October–November 2025. It highlights the continuation of rice harvesting and the completion of rain-fed crops, generally assessed as satisfactory despite input shortages and localized drought-related losses. Rising water levels of the Niger River have improved pastoral resources but temporarily disrupted road infrastructure and reduced fishing production. From a security perspective, reported incidents have declined; however, persistent pressure from armed groups—including access restrictions and zakat collection—has led to significant internal displacement. Food security remains fragile, with projections indicating a sharp increase in populations facing crisis levels of food insecurity in 2026. Nutritional conditions have deteriorated, particularly in Tombouctou, where cases of global acute malnutrition have risen. This situation is exacerbated by infectious diseases, malaria, and low household purchasing power, underscoring the need for strengthened humanitarian and social protection interventions.
Keywords :
Culture, Power, State, Natural ressources, Security, Justice, Family, Food security, Gold, Malnutrition, water
Organizations :
Action Against Hunger (ACF) – Regional Office for West and Central Africa (Dakar, Senegal)
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• Academic analysis and Think Tank / Security and human rights,

  A Folkloric Coup d’État in Guinea-Bissau and the Ongoing Turmoil in West Africa 08/12/2025

  Summary :

  The article “A Folkloric Coup d’État in Guinea-Bissau and the Ongoing Turmoil in West Africa” reports on a coup d’état that occurred shortly after the...

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  Country : Guinea-Bissau

  Organizations : WATHI
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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Security and human rights,
A Folkloric Coup d’État in Guinea-Bissau and the Ongoing Turmoil in West Africa 08/12/2025
Summary :
The article “A Folkloric Coup d’État in Guinea-Bissau and the Ongoing Turmoil in West Africa” reports on a coup d’état that occurred shortly after the November 23, 2025 presidential election in Guinea-Bissau — a vote conducted with calm but carrying significant hope for the country’s 2.2 million inhabitants. Despite the election, the provisional results were delayed, and a group of military officers close to former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló seized power, forming a military junta called the “High Military Command.” General Denis Ncanha announced the takeover, and General Horta N’Tam was appointed head of a one-year transitional government. The article questions the true nature of the coup — some describe it as a “folkloric coup,” possibly orchestrated by Embaló himself to prevent the victory of another candidate backed by the historic party PAIGC. The author warns of renewed political instability, as seen in other West African states, and the risk of widespread “turmoil” if such maneuvers become common.
Keywords :
Politics, Governance, Security, Coup d'État
Organizations :
WATHI
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