Other documents that may interest you :

• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive datase...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Guinea-Bissau , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 1981–2018 and covering 16 countries in the region, the authors tested three machine learning models: random forest, logistic regression, and decision tree. Findings indicate that the random forest model performs best (98% accuracy, 83% recall). The most relevant predictors of conflict are differences in democracy levels and shared borders, while military expenditures prove less influential. The study highlights elevated risks for certain dyads, such as Guinea–Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast–Burkina Faso. By demonstrating the effectiveness of predictive models, this research contributes to the development of early warning systems for conflict prevention. However, it also stresses the limitations due to data imbalance and the need for continuous updates to enhance forecasting accuracy.
Keywords :
State, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Education, Threat, Soicial sciences, Researh, Knowlege production, Intelligence artificielle
Organizations :
International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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• NGO / Association report / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa 14/10/2025

  Summary :

  The article Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa, authored by Professor Charles Ukeje and Dr. Wale Olusola, exp...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : Building Blocks for Peace Foundation (BBFORPEACE) / GPPAC West Africa
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NGO / Association report / Governance, Security and human rights,
Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa 14/10/2025
Summary :
The article Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa, authored by Professor Charles Ukeje and Dr. Wale Olusola, explores the persistent issue of electoral violence and its impact on peace and democratic consolidation in West Africa. Published in November 2023 by the Building Blocks for Peace Foundation (BBFORPEACE) and GPPAC West Africa, the paper argues that elections—meant to strengthen democracy—often fuel insecurity. It highlights both structural (poverty, unemployment, exclusion) and immediate (hate speech, manipulation, external influence) causes of electoral violence. The authors recommend returning to civilian rule, promoting peace education, reforming political parties, and enhancing collaboration among ECOWAS, civil society, and development partners. The report underscores that inclusive and peaceful elections are essential to sustaining regional stability and democratic governance.
Keywords :
Gender, Security, Peace, Justice, Conflict, Political Violence, Election, Human security, Violence, Threat
Organizations :
Building Blocks for Peace Foundation (BBFORPEACE) / GPPAC West Africa
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• Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance,

  Everywhere, the Moral Failure of Political Leaders Endangers Democracy and Peace 17/06/2025

  Summary :

  The “Ça fait débat avec Wathi” episode highlights that the moral failure of many political leaders worldwide threatens democracy and social peace. Gue...

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  Country : Ivory Coste , Guinea

  Organizations : WATHI
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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance,
Everywhere, the Moral Failure of Political Leaders Endangers Democracy and Peace 17/06/2025
Summary :
The “Ça fait débat avec Wathi” episode highlights that the moral failure of many political leaders worldwide threatens democracy and social peace. Guests emphasize that abuses of power, corruption, populism, and disregard for public ethics fuel violence and fear of the future. This crisis of trust affects both major Western democracies and African nations, where authoritarian drift undermines social cohesion. The speakers call for an ethical renewal, the restoration of integrity, and accountability from leaders to prevent conflict escalation and safeguard democratic balance.
Keywords :
Politics, Bribery, Governance, Peace, Democracy, Violence
Organizations :
WATHI
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• State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,

  Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025

  Summary :

  This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the...

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  Country : Chad

  Organizations : AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,
Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025
Summary :
This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the State and democratic transition, marked by institutional fragility, power centralization, and the Déby family’s dynastic legacy; economy, justice, and education, stressing the need for structural reforms, the impact of cash transfers, weaknesses in higher education, and challenges of Arabic-Islamic education; gender and caste inequalities, with the persistent marginalization of women and socially discriminated groups; and armed conflicts, detailing Boko Haram’s recruitment strategies, the weaknesses of the Chadian army, humanitarian consequences of ongoing conflicts, and the massive influx of Sudanese refugees. The conclusion points out underexplored issues such as climate change, public health, cultural dynamics, energy, and migration.
Keywords :
Politics, Political party, Natural ressources, Security, Peace, Justice, Conflict, Education, Gold, Human security
Organizations :
AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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