Other documents that may interest you :

• State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,

  Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025

  Summary :

  This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the...

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  Country : Chad

  Organizations : AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,
Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025
Summary :
This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the State and democratic transition, marked by institutional fragility, power centralization, and the Déby family’s dynastic legacy; economy, justice, and education, stressing the need for structural reforms, the impact of cash transfers, weaknesses in higher education, and challenges of Arabic-Islamic education; gender and caste inequalities, with the persistent marginalization of women and socially discriminated groups; and armed conflicts, detailing Boko Haram’s recruitment strategies, the weaknesses of the Chadian army, humanitarian consequences of ongoing conflicts, and the massive influx of Sudanese refugees. The conclusion points out underexplored issues such as climate change, public health, cultural dynamics, energy, and migration.
Keywords :
Politics, Political party, Natural ressources, Security, Peace, Justice, Conflict, Education, Human security
Organizations :
AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive datase...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Guinea-Bissau , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 1981–2018 and covering 16 countries in the region, the authors tested three machine learning models: random forest, logistic regression, and decision tree. Findings indicate that the random forest model performs best (98% accuracy, 83% recall). The most relevant predictors of conflict are differences in democracy levels and shared borders, while military expenditures prove less influential. The study highlights elevated risks for certain dyads, such as Guinea–Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast–Burkina Faso. By demonstrating the effectiveness of predictive models, this research contributes to the development of early warning systems for conflict prevention. However, it also stresses the limitations due to data imbalance and the need for continuous updates to enhance forecasting accuracy.
Keywords :
State, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Education, Threat, Soicial sciences, Researh, Knowlege production, Intelligence artificielle
Organizations :
International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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• Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance,

  Everywhere, the Moral Failure of Political Leaders Endangers Democracy and Peace 17/06/2025

  Summary :

  The “Ça fait débat avec Wathi” episode highlights that the moral failure of many political leaders worldwide threatens democracy and social peace. Gue...

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  Country : Ivory Coste , Guinea

  Organizations : WATHI
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Academic analysis and Think Tank / Governance,
Everywhere, the Moral Failure of Political Leaders Endangers Democracy and Peace 17/06/2025
Summary :
The “Ça fait débat avec Wathi” episode highlights that the moral failure of many political leaders worldwide threatens democracy and social peace. Guests emphasize that abuses of power, corruption, populism, and disregard for public ethics fuel violence and fear of the future. This crisis of trust affects both major Western democracies and African nations, where authoritarian drift undermines social cohesion. The speakers call for an ethical renewal, the restoration of integrity, and accountability from leaders to prevent conflict escalation and safeguard democratic balance.
Keywords :
Politics, Bribery, Governance, Peace, Democracy, Violence
Organizations :
WATHI
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• Policy brief / Governance, Inclusion, Security and human rights, Resilience,

  The G5 Sahel: At the nexus of fragility, conflict, and climate 18/08/2025

  Summary :

  This Policy Brief examines the G5 Sahel (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger), which faces a “polycrisis” of institutional fragility, violent ...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Chad , Mali , Mauritania , Niger

  Organizations : International Growth Centre (IGC)
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Policy brief / Governance, Inclusion, Security and human rights, Resilience,
The G5 Sahel: At the nexus of fragility, conflict, and climate 18/08/2025
Summary :
This Policy Brief examines the G5 Sahel (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger), which faces a “polycrisis” of institutional fragility, violent conflict, and climate change. Although the region contributes only 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions, it is warming faster than the global average, worsening poverty, food insecurity, and competition over scarce resources. Rapid population growth and unplanned urbanization deepen social strains. Conflicts over land and water, combined with weak governance, fuel instability and large-scale displacement. The author highlights the need for sustained, multi-pronged action: strengthening local resilience, involving communities and indigenous groups, improving governance, and ensuring access to climate finance. The Sahel’s future hinges on coordinated approaches that balance development, peacebuilding, and climate adaptation
Keywords :
Migration, Climate change, Peace, Conflict, Crisis, Insécurité, Démographie, Inclusion
Organizations :
International Growth Centre (IGC)
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