Other documents that may interest you :

• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive datase...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Guinea-Bissau , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 1981–2018 and covering 16 countries in the region, the authors tested three machine learning models: random forest, logistic regression, and decision tree. Findings indicate that the random forest model performs best (98% accuracy, 83% recall). The most relevant predictors of conflict are differences in democracy levels and shared borders, while military expenditures prove less influential. The study highlights elevated risks for certain dyads, such as Guinea–Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast–Burkina Faso. By demonstrating the effectiveness of predictive models, this research contributes to the development of early warning systems for conflict prevention. However, it also stresses the limitations due to data imbalance and the need for continuous updates to enhance forecasting accuracy.
Keywords :
State, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Education, Threat, Soicial sciences, Researh, Knowlege production, Intelligence artificielle
Organizations :
International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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• State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,

  Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025

  Summary :

  This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the...

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  Country : Chad

  Organizations : AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,
Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025
Summary :
This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the State and democratic transition, marked by institutional fragility, power centralization, and the Déby family’s dynastic legacy; economy, justice, and education, stressing the need for structural reforms, the impact of cash transfers, weaknesses in higher education, and challenges of Arabic-Islamic education; gender and caste inequalities, with the persistent marginalization of women and socially discriminated groups; and armed conflicts, detailing Boko Haram’s recruitment strategies, the weaknesses of the Chadian army, humanitarian consequences of ongoing conflicts, and the massive influx of Sudanese refugees. The conclusion points out underexplored issues such as climate change, public health, cultural dynamics, energy, and migration.
Keywords :
Politics, Political party, Natural ressources, Security, Peace, Justice, Conflict, Education, Gold, Human security
Organizations :
AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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• Infographie / Security and human rights,

  A Record Number of Forced Displacements in Africa Due to Conflicts 16/05/2025

  Summary :

  In 2024, the number of forcibly displaced people in Africa reached a record high, exceeding 45 million, a 14% increase from the previous year. The maj...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Cameroon , Chad , Mali , Niger , Nigeria , Central African Republic , Sudan , Somalia , Mozambique , Ethiopia

  Organizations : Africa Center for Strategic Studies (ACSS)
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Infographie / Security and human rights,
A Record Number of Forced Displacements in Africa Due to Conflicts 16/05/2025
Summary :
In 2024, the number of forcibly displaced people in Africa reached a record high, exceeding 45 million, a 14% increase from the previous year. The majority (over 34 million) are internally displaced. The Sudan emerged as the epicenter of the crisis, with 12.6 million displaced due to fighting between the army and Rapid Support Forces. Other severely affected countries include the DR Congo, Somalia, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Mali, and Cameroon. Primary causes include armed conflicts, state repression (notably in Eritrea and Rwanda), regional instability, and acute food insecurity. The report emphasizes the growing interlinkage between security and humanitarian crises and calls for greater international support to address the complex political and humanitarian challenges across the continent.
Keywords :
Natural ressources, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Gold, Human security, Violence, Threat, Civil Society
Organizations :
Africa Center for Strategic Studies (ACSS)
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• Infographie / Governance, Security and human rights,

  In Africa, More Than 150,000 Deaths Attributed to Militant Islamist Groups in Ten Years 19/08/2025

  Summary :

  Over the past decade, more than 155,000 deaths have been attributed to militant Islamist groups in Africa. The **Sahel—especially Burkina Faso, Mali, ...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Cameroon , Chad , Mali , Niger , Nigeria , Benin , Togo , Somalia

  Organizations : Africa Center for Strategic Studies (ACSS)
  Download
Infographie / Governance, Security and human rights,
In Africa, More Than 150,000 Deaths Attributed to Militant Islamist Groups in Ten Years 19/08/2025
Summary :
Over the past decade, more than 155,000 deaths have been attributed to militant Islamist groups in Africa. The **Sahel—especially Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger—**has become the epicenter of this violence, with attacks surging since 2020. JNIM (linked to al-Qaeda) and ISGS (Islamic State in the Greater Sahara) dominate the region, expanding toward coastal West Africa. Burkina Faso accounts for more than half of recent fatalities, while Mali has suffered over 17,000 deaths since 2020. Niger, destabilized by the 2023 coup, has seen casualties quadruple. Somalia, with al-Shabaab, and the Lake Chad Basin (Nigeria, Cameroon, Chad, Niger) also remain deadly hotspots. The report highlights states’ territorial loss, with nearly 1 million km² outside government control, and forced displacement affecting over 3.5 million people. The data underscores the escalating lethality of militant Islamist groups and the urgent need for coordinated responses.
Keywords :
State, Natural ressources, Security, Peace, Political Violence, Gold, Human security, Violence, Threat, Civil Society
Organizations :
Africa Center for Strategic Studies (ACSS)
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