Other documents that may interest you :

• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive datase...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Guinea-Bissau , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 1981–2018 and covering 16 countries in the region, the authors tested three machine learning models: random forest, logistic regression, and decision tree. Findings indicate that the random forest model performs best (98% accuracy, 83% recall). The most relevant predictors of conflict are differences in democracy levels and shared borders, while military expenditures prove less influential. The study highlights elevated risks for certain dyads, such as Guinea–Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast–Burkina Faso. By demonstrating the effectiveness of predictive models, this research contributes to the development of early warning systems for conflict prevention. However, it also stresses the limitations due to data imbalance and the need for continuous updates to enhance forecasting accuracy.
Keywords :
State, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Education, Threat, Soicial sciences, Researh, Knowlege production, Intelligence artificielle
Organizations :
International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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• Policy brief / Governance, Inclusion, Security and human rights, Resilience,

  The G5 Sahel: At the nexus of fragility, conflict, and climate 18/08/2025

  Summary :

  This Policy Brief examines the G5 Sahel (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger), which faces a “polycrisis” of institutional fragility, violent ...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Chad , Mali , Mauritania , Niger

  Organizations : International Growth Centre (IGC)
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Policy brief / Governance, Inclusion, Security and human rights, Resilience,
The G5 Sahel: At the nexus of fragility, conflict, and climate 18/08/2025
Summary :
This Policy Brief examines the G5 Sahel (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger), which faces a “polycrisis” of institutional fragility, violent conflict, and climate change. Although the region contributes only 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions, it is warming faster than the global average, worsening poverty, food insecurity, and competition over scarce resources. Rapid population growth and unplanned urbanization deepen social strains. Conflicts over land and water, combined with weak governance, fuel instability and large-scale displacement. The author highlights the need for sustained, multi-pronged action: strengthening local resilience, involving communities and indigenous groups, improving governance, and ensuring access to climate finance. The Sahel’s future hinges on coordinated approaches that balance development, peacebuilding, and climate adaptation
Keywords :
Migration, Climate change, Peace, Conflict, Crisis, Insécurité, Démographie, Inclusion
Organizations :
International Growth Centre (IGC)
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• Journal article / Mediation and conflict management,

  The United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission In Mali (MINUSMA) In Peacekeeping 28/11/2025

  Summary :

  This study assesses the impact of the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) and identifies the challenges...

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  Country : Mali

  Organizations : Journal of Namibian Studies: History Politics Culture
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Journal article / Mediation and conflict management,
The United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission In Mali (MINUSMA) In Peacekeeping 28/11/2025
Summary :
This study assesses the impact of the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) and identifies the challenges it faces. Using a descriptive methodology based on secondary data (books, journals, UN documents, online materials), the authors rely on content analysis and institutional theory. Findings show that MINUSMA has contributed to peacebuilding by enabling the return of many internally displaced persons, improving relative stability in northern Mali and reducing civilian casualties. The mission also supported the peace process culminating in the 2015 Peace and Reconciliation Agreement and assisted in organizing the 2013 and 2016 elections. However, MINUSMA is one of Africa’s most expensive peacekeeping missions (approximately USD 600 million annually) and among the deadliest due to high casualty numbers. Major challenges include authority conflicts, task allocation issues, insufficient personnel, logistical constraints and weaknesses in the implementation of peace agreements. The study recommends a full and credible implementation of the current peace agreement.
Keywords :
Peace, Conflict, Crisis management, Stabilisation
Organizations :
Journal of Namibian Studies: History Politics Culture
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• NGO / Association report / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa 14/10/2025

  Summary :

  The article Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa, authored by Professor Charles Ukeje and Dr. Wale Olusola, exp...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : Building Blocks for Peace Foundation (BBFORPEACE) / GPPAC West Africa
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NGO / Association report / Governance, Security and human rights,
Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa 14/10/2025
Summary :
The article Managing Election Violence and Sustaining Peace and Security in West Africa, authored by Professor Charles Ukeje and Dr. Wale Olusola, explores the persistent issue of electoral violence and its impact on peace and democratic consolidation in West Africa. Published in November 2023 by the Building Blocks for Peace Foundation (BBFORPEACE) and GPPAC West Africa, the paper argues that elections—meant to strengthen democracy—often fuel insecurity. It highlights both structural (poverty, unemployment, exclusion) and immediate (hate speech, manipulation, external influence) causes of electoral violence. The authors recommend returning to civilian rule, promoting peace education, reforming political parties, and enhancing collaboration among ECOWAS, civil society, and development partners. The report underscores that inclusive and peaceful elections are essential to sustaining regional stability and democratic governance.
Keywords :
Gender, Security, Peace, Justice, Conflict, Political Violence, Election, Human security, Violence, Threat
Organizations :
Building Blocks for Peace Foundation (BBFORPEACE) / GPPAC West Africa
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