Other documents that may interest you :

• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive datase...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Guinea-Bissau , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 1981–2018 and covering 16 countries in the region, the authors tested three machine learning models: random forest, logistic regression, and decision tree. Findings indicate that the random forest model performs best (98% accuracy, 83% recall). The most relevant predictors of conflict are differences in democracy levels and shared borders, while military expenditures prove less influential. The study highlights elevated risks for certain dyads, such as Guinea–Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast–Burkina Faso. By demonstrating the effectiveness of predictive models, this research contributes to the development of early warning systems for conflict prevention. However, it also stresses the limitations due to data imbalance and the need for continuous updates to enhance forecasting accuracy.
Keywords :
State, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Education, Threat, Soicial sciences, Researh, Knowlege production, Intelligence artificielle
Organizations :
International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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• State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,

  Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025

  Summary :

  This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the...

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  Country : Chad

  Organizations : AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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State-national agency report / Governance, Security and human rights, Mediation and conflict management,
Country Profile: Chad 01/09/2025
Summary :
This country profile provides a synthesis of 29 studies on Chad, including 27 specifically focused on the country. It highlights four main themes: the State and democratic transition, marked by institutional fragility, power centralization, and the Déby family’s dynastic legacy; economy, justice, and education, stressing the need for structural reforms, the impact of cash transfers, weaknesses in higher education, and challenges of Arabic-Islamic education; gender and caste inequalities, with the persistent marginalization of women and socially discriminated groups; and armed conflicts, detailing Boko Haram’s recruitment strategies, the weaknesses of the Chadian army, humanitarian consequences of ongoing conflicts, and the massive influx of Sudanese refugees. The conclusion points out underexplored issues such as climate change, public health, cultural dynamics, energy, and migration.
Keywords :
Politics, Political party, Natural ressources, Security, Peace, Justice, Conflict, Education, Gold, Human security
Organizations :
AFD, IRD, ICE, PASAS
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• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Productive failure, African agency, and security cooperation in West Africa: The case of the G5 Sahel 25/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines South–South security cooperation in Africa through the case of the G5 Sahel. The authors argue that regional organisations, desp...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Chad , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Ghana

  Organizations : European Journal of International Security (Cambridge University Press, BISA)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Productive failure, African agency, and security cooperation in West Africa: The case of the G5 Sahel 25/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines South–South security cooperation in Africa through the case of the G5 Sahel. The authors argue that regional organisations, despite being guided by the mantra of “African solutions to African problems,” remain rigid, underfunded, and donor-dependent. In this context, ad hoc initiatives such as the G5 Sahel and the Accra Initiative have proliferated, appearing more flexible and context-sensitive. However, these often become “zombified” institutions shaped by external funding and donor agendas. The G5 Sahel exemplifies this paradox: while it failed to curb insecurity, it nonetheless fostered military cooperation and generated new forms of African agency. This “productive failure” illustrates how Sahelian states repurpose constraints into political opportunities, reassert sovereignty, and engage in new bilateral or regional arrangements, including the creation of the Alliance des États du Sahel (AES).
Keywords :
State, Economic Development, Security, Conflict, Education, Development, Human security, Cooperation, Threat, Knowlege production
Organizations :
European Journal of International Security (Cambridge University Press, BISA)
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• NGO / Association report / Security and human rights,

  Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin of Senegal, No. 41 – June–July 2025 01/09/2025

  Summary :

  The Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin for Senegal (No. 41, June–July 2025) highlights late and irregular rains, causing a severe pastoral lean season in ...

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  Country : Mali , Mauritania , Senegal

  Organizations : Action Against Hunger (ACF) – Regional Office for West and Central Africa (Dakar, Senegal)
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NGO / Association report / Security and human rights,
Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin of Senegal, No. 41 – June–July 2025 01/09/2025
Summary :
The Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin for Senegal (No. 41, June–July 2025) highlights late and irregular rains, causing a severe pastoral lean season in the north (Louga, Saint-Louis, Matam). Transhumance flows were intense, with herds moving southward (Kaolack, Kaffrine, Tambacounda) and across borders with Mauritania and Mali. While forage and water resources were more favorable in Casamance and eastern Senegal, overgrazing and pressure on water points increased health risks and tensions. Livestock prices, especially for male cattle (+12%), rose sharply, improving terms of trade for pastoralists but undermining non-herding households’ purchasing power. The bulletin also reports animal diseases, frequent cattle thefts (Louga, Kaffrine, Tambacounda), and localized farmer–herder conflicts. Recommendations emphasize strengthening pastoral infrastructure, ensuring coordinated management of transhumance corridors, reinforcing animal health surveillance, and providing targeted support to vulnerable households.
Keywords :
State, Livestock, Natural ressources, Security, Conflict, Education, Food security, Gold, Poverty, Human security, Vulnerability, Transhumance
Organizations :
Action Against Hunger (ACF) – Regional Office for West and Central Africa (Dakar, Senegal)
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