Other documents that may interest you :

• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive datase...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Gambia , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Nigeria , Senegal , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Guinea , Ghana , Liberia , Guinea-Bissau , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Prediction of Interstate Armed Conflicts in West Africa Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques 03/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines the use of artificial intelligence techniques to predict interstate armed conflicts in West Africa. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 1981–2018 and covering 16 countries in the region, the authors tested three machine learning models: random forest, logistic regression, and decision tree. Findings indicate that the random forest model performs best (98% accuracy, 83% recall). The most relevant predictors of conflict are differences in democracy levels and shared borders, while military expenditures prove less influential. The study highlights elevated risks for certain dyads, such as Guinea–Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast–Burkina Faso. By demonstrating the effectiveness of predictive models, this research contributes to the development of early warning systems for conflict prevention. However, it also stresses the limitations due to data imbalance and the need for continuous updates to enhance forecasting accuracy.
Keywords :
State, Security, Peace, Conflict, Political Violence, Education, Threat, Soicial sciences, Researh, Knowlege production, Intelligence artificielle
Organizations :
International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR)
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• Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,

  Productive failure, African agency, and security cooperation in West Africa: The case of the G5 Sahel 25/09/2025

  Summary :

  This article examines South–South security cooperation in Africa through the case of the G5 Sahel. The authors argue that regional organisations, desp...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Chad , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Benin , Ivory Coste , Togo , Ghana

  Organizations : European Journal of International Security (Cambridge University Press, BISA)
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Journal article / Governance, Security and human rights,
Productive failure, African agency, and security cooperation in West Africa: The case of the G5 Sahel 25/09/2025
Summary :
This article examines South–South security cooperation in Africa through the case of the G5 Sahel. The authors argue that regional organisations, despite being guided by the mantra of “African solutions to African problems,” remain rigid, underfunded, and donor-dependent. In this context, ad hoc initiatives such as the G5 Sahel and the Accra Initiative have proliferated, appearing more flexible and context-sensitive. However, these often become “zombified” institutions shaped by external funding and donor agendas. The G5 Sahel exemplifies this paradox: while it failed to curb insecurity, it nonetheless fostered military cooperation and generated new forms of African agency. This “productive failure” illustrates how Sahelian states repurpose constraints into political opportunities, reassert sovereignty, and engage in new bilateral or regional arrangements, including the creation of the Alliance des États du Sahel (AES).
Keywords :
State, Economic Development, Security, Conflict, Education, Development, Human security, Cooperation, Threat, Knowlege production
Organizations :
European Journal of International Security (Cambridge University Press, BISA)
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• Policy brief / Governance,

  Islamic Donors in the Sahel: History, Developments, and New Strategic Orientations 01/09/2025

  Summary :

  This report examines the evolution of Islamic donors in the Sahel, from their historical roots to their recent strategic shifts. Initially framed by S...

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  Country : Burkina Faso , Mali , Mauritania , Niger , Senegal , Benin , Guinea , Sierra Leone , Cape Verde

  Organizations : IRD, ICE, PASAS
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Policy brief / Governance,
Islamic Donors in the Sahel: History, Developments, and New Strategic Orientations 01/09/2025
Summary :
This report examines the evolution of Islamic donors in the Sahel, from their historical roots to their recent strategic shifts. Initially framed by South-South solidarity and the oil shocks of the 1970s, Gulf donors gradually expanded their influence through religious and private aid, notably via Islamic NGOs and non-profit organizations. The study highlights the privatization of aid, the emergence of a “Muslim humanitarianism,” and the growing role of Salafist NGOs in social work, especially in Senegal. These actors, perceived as close to communities, provide assistance considered accessible and effective, while challenging traditional Western cooperation models. Their strategies include delegitimizing classical partners and reshaping local socio-political dynamics. The report concludes that international agencies must adapt, build partnerships with legitimate Islamic actors, and integrate local cultural and religious contexts to enhance peacebuilding and sustainable development in the region.
Keywords :
Politics, Political party, State, Economic Development, Natural ressources, Donor, Gold, Social, Aid, Civil Society
Organizations :
IRD, ICE, PASAS
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• NGO / Association report / Security and human rights,

  Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin on Niger (No. 64, June–July 2025) 26/08/2025

  Summary :

  The Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin on Niger (No. 64, June–July 2025), published by Action Against Hunger (ACF), highlights improved pastoral condition...

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  Country : Niger

  Organizations : Action Against Hunger (ACF) – Regional Office for West and Central Africa (Dakar, Senegal)
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NGO / Association report / Security and human rights,
Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin on Niger (No. 64, June–July 2025) 26/08/2025
Summary :
The Pastoral Surveillance Bulletin on Niger (No. 64, June–July 2025), published by Action Against Hunger (ACF), highlights improved pastoral conditions due to above-average rainfall, which boosted pasture regeneration and water availability. Overall, fodder resources are considered medium to sufficient, and livestock body condition is mostly fair, with some improvement noted. Nevertheless, localized biomass deficits, water shortages in specific areas, increased livestock theft, and community conflicts over resources remain challenges. Market analysis shows declining livestock prices, slight increases in cereal prices, and unfavorable terms of trade for herders. The report concludes with recommendations to strengthen vaccination campaigns, promote peaceful transhumance, ensure availability of fodder and cereals, and enhance risk preparedness in pastoral areas. It stresses the importance of continued support from state institutions, civil society, and humanitarian actors to secure pastoral livelihoods.
Keywords :
State, Livestock, Natural ressources, Security, Education, Gold, Human security, Knowlege production, Information, Marché
Organizations :
Action Against Hunger (ACF) – Regional Office for West and Central Africa (Dakar, Senegal)
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